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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120,000 | 100% | +7 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 377d | jaradox | 120,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,764 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 377d | babo959 | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,938 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | shibmusk | 120,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,033 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | aadvark | 120,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$70 +4.8% | 2 |
| 378d | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 379d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | 120,000 | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $3,858 | −$3,858 −100% | 3 |
| 380d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | 120,000 | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,976 | −$1,976 −100% | 3 |
| 380d | kingofcoinflips | 116,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,957 | +$563 +19% | 2 |
| 381d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | 116,000 | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $1,069 | −$1,069 −100% | 3 |
| 381d | 114,000 | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,338 | −$413 −18% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 120,000 means the market gives it about 100%.