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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84,000 | 100% | +17 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +39 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −24 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Ringed-Gambling | 86,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | −$77 −6.9% | — |
| 11d | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 11d | noloainakaila | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$65 +3.2% | 2 |
| 11d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,664 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,284 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | qqmupup2 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,535 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,299 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | PmDerek | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,139 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | Noteagle | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,765 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 11d | Rust701 | 88,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 11d | PmDerek | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,680 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | PmDerek | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,681 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Noteagle | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,429 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 11d | Navigator77 | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,630 | +$23 +0.6% | 2 |
| 11d | Navigator77 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$20 +0.5% | 2 |
| 11d | SkyLove72 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,423 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,742 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 11d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,583 | +$11 +0.7% | 2 |
| 11d | Hashbrown3 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,957 | +$60 +0.8% | 2 |
| 11d | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,527 | +$14 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 11d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | 86,000 | SellYes71¢ → 0¢ | $1,236 | +$1,236 +100% | — |
| 11d | wyh. | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,025 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | wh0511 | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,052 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,038 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | detoxification | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | PmDerek | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,711 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Rust701 | 88,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$42 +4.2% | 2 |
| 11d | WanTonMee | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,137 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,826 | +$69 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 11d | 84,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,899 | +$91 +1.9% | 2 | |
| 11d | 88,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,491 | +$119 +3.4% | 2 | |
| 11d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,726 | +$11 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 11d | 82,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $2,612 | +$13 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 11d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,054 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,796 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,574 | +$26 +0.5% | 2 |
| 11d | TangS41892 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,456 | +$26 +0.5% | 2 |
| 11d | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 11d | TangS4189 | 90,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 11d | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,494 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 11d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,963 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,511 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 11d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,035 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | Gregarious-Distribution | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,933 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | averagerandomman5 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,492 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | suntori3 fills | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,469 | −$13 −0.2% | — |
| 11d | suntori3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,327 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | +$16 +1.3% | 2 | |
| 11d | kolassadamarist | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,219 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,213 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 11d | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,213 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | UPbet | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 84,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,169 | +$102 +8.7% | 3 |
| 11d | Rust701 | 82,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,023 | −$35 −1.2% | — |
| 11d | Rust701 | 84,000 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,156 | −$217 −10% | — |
| 12d | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,984 | +$16 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 12d | yiqiz | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,596 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 12d | Rust701 | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$58 +1.9% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 84,000 means the market gives it about 100%.