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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114,000 | 0% | −49 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | +8 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 0% | −8 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 382d | ForgetAboutBenjamin | 114,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,859 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 382d | Xxptyzz | 114,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,880 | −$120 −4.2% | — |
| 382d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c203 fills | 114,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,535 | +$789 +14% | 3 |
| 382d |  brodiaga | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,878 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d | Vadar888 | 114,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,775 | +$93 +5.3% | 2 |
| 382d | xiazhihao12052 fills | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,183 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d | lllllll999 | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,028 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d | lllllll333 | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d | rwo | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,983 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d | affs20791 | 112,000 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,763 | −$237 −8.6% | — |
| 382d | rwo | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,038 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d | namgungminsu | 112,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | +$52 +4.2% | 2 |
| 382d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,488 | +$345 +5.3% | 2 |
| 382d | easyclap2 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $3,147 | −$3,147 −100% | 5 |
| 382d | fsff232 | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d | fuzhixiang1250 | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,042 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d | Sasaqtu | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,225 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d | lllllll999 | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d | 29ffa | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d | guihu2 | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d |  SappySeal67 | 114,000 | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$1,759 +89% | 4 |
| 383d | huangwenlong12348 | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,038 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 383d | affs20791 | 112,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$250 +5.3% | 2 |
| 383d |  GregSharp | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,083 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 383d | Nautical-Willingness | 116,000 | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,088 | −$1,088 −100% | 5 |
| 383d | cyberoverlordd | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 383d | Xxptyzz2 fills | 114,000 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $2,284 | +$1,717 +75% | 4 |
| 383d |  brockthebaby | 114,000 | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $1,159 | −$1,159 −100% | 4 |
| 383d | YuisBlind | 112,000 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,391 | −$172 −12% | — |
| 383d | RealMaxNick | 116,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$188 +10% | 2 |
| 383d |  stackinbit | 114,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | +$193 +16% | 3 |
| 384d | bc1234 | 110,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,041 | +$579 +19% | 3 |
| 384d | kingofcoinflips | 110,000 | BuyNo21¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 4 |
| 384d | easypredict2 fills | 112,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $4,286 | +$4,234 +99% | 3 |
| 384d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $5,179 | +$3,341 +65% | 3 |
| 386d | easypredict | 112,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $2,851 | −$2,851 −100% | 2 |
| 386d | easyclap | 114,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,203 | +$317 +9.9% | 2 |
| 387d | Striped-SavingsNew account | 108,000 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$465 +45% | 3 |
| 387d | easypredict | 108,000 | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $2,218 | +$1,302 +59% | 3 |
| 387d | easypredict | 122,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$24 +2.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 114,000 means the market gives it about 0%.