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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >111k | 100% | +12 pts | +73 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <105k | 0% | 0 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 105–107k | 0% | 0 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 107–109k | 0% | −2 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 109–111k | 0% | −9 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 462d |  aleksandmoney | >111k | SellYes>99¢ | $3,544 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 462d |  50StackSteve | 109–111k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,696 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 462d |  Simbaaaa | >111k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 463d | cipherpilot | >111k | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,968 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 463d |  Harkell | 105–107k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,078 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 463d | Xgs | 109–111k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 463d |  UwO3 fills | >111k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,795 | +$91 +1.3% | 2 |
| 463d | Grawuud | 109–111k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 463d |  Epsilon | 109–111k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,190 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 463d | OnzooznO | 107–109k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,100 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 463d | elPolloLoco | 109–111k | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,930 | −$42 −1.4% | — |
| 463d | Niseko | <105k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,036 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 463d | Besiege4 fills | >111k | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $5,999 | −$2,001 −33% | — |
| 463d | DOWNbet | >111k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,141 | +$22 +1.0% | 2 |
| 463d |  manwithahat | 105–107k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,557 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 463d | AZwater | 105–107k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 463d | tsekinming01 | >111k | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | +$40 +3.1% | 2 |
| 463d | aleksandmoney | >111k | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,918 | +$67 +2.3% | 2 |
| 463d | brr694205 fills | 109–111k | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $14,497 | −$2,061 −14% | — |
| 463d | AZwater3 fills | <105k | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,905 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 463d | NNGG | >111k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | −$121 −11% | — |
| 463d | precision3 fills | 109–111k | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,932 | +$777 +16% | 3 |
| 463d | sherlockholmes11 | >111k | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,639 | −$223 −14% | — |
| 463d | brr69420 | 107–109k | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,172 | −$94 −2.2% | — |
| 463d | 1kday | >111k | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | −$158 −14% | — |
| 463d | Besiege3 fills | <105k | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,863 | −$137 −2.3% | — |
| 463d | FoxCoin3 fills | >111k | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $7,547 | −$6,166 −82% | — |
| 464d | brr694205 fills | >111k | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $7,201 | −$6,467 −90% | — |
| 464d | sherlockholmes11 | >111k | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | +$447 +32% | 4 |
| 464d | brr694204 fills | >111k | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $7,780 | +$6,601 +85% | 3 |
| 464d | brr694209 fills | >111k | SellNo57¢ → 0¢ | $15,386 | +$15,386 +100% | — |
| 464d | sherlockholmes11 | 107–109k | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | −$74 −5.3% | — |
| 464d | eric7773 fills | 109–111k | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $5,579 | −$5,579 −100% | 8 |
| 464d |  HaileyWelch2 fills | 109–111k | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $4,135 | +$2,355 +57% | 3 |
| 464d | AndrianoLamo | 105–107k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,170 | +$100 +2.4% | 2 |
| 464d | sherlockholmes11 | 107–109k | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$138 +10% | 2 |
| 464d | Besiege | >111k | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$920 +85% | 3 |
| 464d | HaileyWelch2 fills | >111k | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $5,853 | −$5,853 −100% | 4 |
| 464d | brr694205 fills | >111k | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $6,998 | −$6,998 −100% | 3 |
| 464d | Changgg-8882 fills | >111k | SellNo48¢ → 0¢ | $7,279 | +$7,279 +100% | — |
| 464d | playforfun2 fills | <105k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,385 | +$124 +1.5% | 2 |
| 464d | 100a | 109–111k | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | −$686 −54% | — |
| 464d | bambooo | 109–111k | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $10,900 | −$10,900 −100% | 10 |
| 464d | Changgg-8884 fills | >111k | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $11,481 | −$11,481 −100% | 5 |
| 464d | affs207913 fills | <105k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,981 | +$445 +5.0% | 2 |
| 464d | FoxCoin3 fills | >111k | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $5,118 | +$8,160 +159% | 7 |
| 464d | Waterfall412 | 109–111k | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | −$492 −39% | — |
| 464d | jdyljdyl | <105k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 464d | TheSpider | 107–109k | SellYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,018 | +$1,018 +100% | — |
| 464d | sherlockholmes11 | 105–107k | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | −$59 −4.4% | — |
| 464d | precision | >111k | SellNo56¢ → 0¢ | $4,224 | +$4,224 +100% | — |
| 464d | 50StackSteve | 109–111k | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | +$766 +49% | 3 |
| 464d |  Bezdelnik | 109–111k | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$4,619 +46% | 3 |
| 464d | whoami9999 | 107–109k | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $4,163 | −$4,163 −100% | 8 |
| 465d | Waterfall412 | >111k | SellNo78¢ → 0¢ | $2,822 | +$2,822 +100% | — |
| 465d | xuyang | >111k | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 3 |
| 465d | sherlockholmes11 | 105–107k | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$212 +18% | 3 |
| 465d | Besiege4 fills | <105k | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,837 | +$440 +6.4% | 2 |
| 465d | Waterfall4122 fills | >111k | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $3,575 | −$3,575 −100% | 2 |
| 465d | rdwyegb2 fills | <105k | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$600 +12% | 2 |
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >111k means the market gives it about 100%.