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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <106k | 100% | +93 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106-108k | 0% | −29 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 108-110k | 0% | −45 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110-112k | 0% | −18 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >112k | 0% | −3 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 487d | rwo | <106k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 487d |  LukeCerebral | <106k | SellYes>99¢ | $8,703 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 487d | p22ssp9 fills | <106k | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $26,569 | −$6,592 −25% | — |
| 487d | LuketheNuke | <106k | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,596 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 487d | averagerandomman | <106k | BuyYes100¢ | $2,786 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 487d |  tsys88888 | 110-112k | SellNo>99¢ | $5,250 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 487d |  323b2 fills | <106k | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $2,636 | +$2,545 +97% | 4 |
| 487d | KimbalMusk | <106k | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | −$46 −3.4% | — |
| 487d |  vrooo0m2 fills | <106k | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $3,227 | +$1,204 +37% | 3 |
| 487d | p22ssp13 fills | <106k | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $32,478 | +$14,292 +44% | 4 |
| 487d | andrez | <106k | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,758 | −$360 −20% | — |
| 487d | FlowMo | <106k | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $7,752 | +$1,369 +18% | 3 |
| 487d | LukeCerebral | <106k | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,635 | +$896 +25% | 4 |
| 487d | Resilience4 fills | <106k | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $6,106 | +$6,106 +100% | — |
| 487d |  50StackSteve | 106-108k | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $2,424 | −$2,424 −100% | 7 |
| 487d | 50StackSteve | <106k | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $2,325 | −$2,325 −100% | 8 |
| 487d |  Harkell | >112k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,071 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 487d | 50StackSteve2 fills | <106k | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $2,858 | +$2,858 +100% | — |
| 487d | Norren-Zh | 106-108k | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$424 +37% | 4 |
| 487d | Valrus | <106k | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | −$905 −69% | — |
| 487d | Mraka | <106k | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | −$1,107 −75% | — |
| 487d | Resilience | 108-110k | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,007 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 487d | AZwater | 108-110k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$17 +1.0% | 2 |
| 487d | andrez | <106k | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | +$657 +45% | 5 |
| 487d | Valrus2 fills | <106k | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,963 | +$1,510 +51% | 3 |
| 487d | andrez | <106k | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,462 | +$1,462 +100% | — |
| 487d | 323b | 106-108k | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $2,360 | +$1,640 +69% | 5 |
| 487d |  TimJang | >112k | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,665 | +$27 +0.4% | 2 |
| 487d | tsys88888 | 110-112k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,169 | +$86 +1.7% | 2 |
| 487d | Resilience3 fills | 106-108k | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $4,500 | +$4,500 +100% | — |
| 487d | p22ssp2 fills | <106k | SellNo59¢ → 0¢ | $3,542 | +$3,542 +100% | — |
| 487d | tsekinming012 fills | 110-112k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,811 | +$189 +2.1% | 2 |
| 487d | UPbet2 fills | >112k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,899 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 487d |  HaileyWelch2 fills | 106-108k | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $3,674 | −$3,674 −100% | 4 |
| 487d | notgrim | 110-112k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$43 +2.1% | 2 |
| 487d | andrez | <106k | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $3,180 | −$3,180 −100% | 4 |
| 487d | vrooo0m | 106-108k | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,048 | −$1,048 −100% | 4 |
| 487d | Resilience5 fills | 108-110k | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $8,109 | +$1,891 +23% | 2 |
| 487d | AZwater2 fills | >112k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,365 | +$123 +3.6% | 2 |
| 487d | affs20791 | <106k | SellNo82¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | +$2,050 +100% | — |
| 487d | qiuqiudamowang | 110-112k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$90 +3.0% | 2 |
| 487d | cowcat2 fills | 106-108k | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $5,323 | −$5,322 −100% | 4 |
| 487d | p22ssp2 fills | <106k | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $4,290 | −$4,290 −100% | 3 |
| 487d | chambi | <106k | SellYes31¢ → 100¢ | $3,086 | −$7,011 −227% | — |
| 487d | vrooo0m | 106-108k | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$960 +92% | 4 |
| 487d | Inauspicious | 106-108k | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $19,110 | +$15,058 +79% | 4 |
| 487d | Resilience3 fills | <106k | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $7,588 | −$7,588 −100% | 3 |
| 487d | HaileyWelch | 106-108k | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$834 +72% | 4 |
| 487d | vrooo0m | <106k | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,009 | −$1,009 −100% | 4 |
| 487d | 323b | <106k | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,986 | −$1,986 −100% | 4 |
| 487d | tsekinming01 | >112k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,067 | +$21 +1.0% | 2 |
| 487d | Resilience2 fills | 108-110k | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $2,130 | +$2,130 +100% | — |
| 487d | Resilience7 fills | 110-112k | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $11,899 | +$1,066 +9.0% | 2 |
| 487d | Resilience4 fills | >112k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,687 | +$566 +4.1% | 2 |
| 487d | Thin-Print | <106k | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $1,811 | −$1,811 −100% | 2 |
| 487d | Resilience | 110-112k | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | −$283 −21% | — |
| 487d | 323b | 106-108k | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 5 |
| 487d | JJDAEGU | <106k | SellNo92¢ → 0¢ | $1,880 | +$1,880 +100% | — |
| 488d | PTR-780 | >112k | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | −$75 −3.0% | — |
| 488d | affs20791 | <106k | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,601 | −$1,601 −100% | 3 |
Yirmyah1,000 sharesThis market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <106k means the market gives it about 100%.