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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191d | X1024SCALPING | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,366 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 191d | johnchan3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,075 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 191d | Wan-Octave | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,030 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 191d | 2024 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,950 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d | jhz11224 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyUp>99¢ | $31,279 | +$84 +0.3% | 2 |
| 191d | Wan-Octave | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,023 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 191d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,997 | +$20 +0.4% | 2 |
| 191d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,697 | +$17 +1.0% | 2 |
| 191d | hbqassistakee01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $4,989 | +$76 +1.5% | 2 |
| 191d | 0x306e06d4457dc86d88671a788c77b17e8c213a7c | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,410 | +$75 +3.1% | 2 |
| 191d | chenping190 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | SellDown57¢ → 0¢ | $2,545 | +$2,545 +100% | — |
| 191d | chenping190 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyDown42¢ → 0¢ | $1,598 | −$1,598 −100% | 5 |
| 191d | X1024SCALPING | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyUp47¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | +$1,715 +113% | 4 |
| 191d | X1024SCALPING | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | SellDown62¢ → 0¢ | $1,693 | +$1,693 +100% | — |
| 191d | Agreeable-CircadianNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | SellDown69¢ → 0¢ | $1,323 | +$1,323 +100% | — |
| 191d | easyclap2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyUp40¢ → 100¢ | $3,688 | +$5,611 +152% | 7 |
| 191d | tonio992 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyDown56¢ → 0¢ | $8,670 | −$8,670 −100% | 4 |
| 191d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyDown71¢ → 0¢ | $6,994 | −$6,994 −100% | 4 |
| 191d | X1024SCALPING | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,305 | −$1,305 −100% | 4 |
| 191d | Marioy | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyUp61¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$736 +64% | 4 |
| 192d | Niseko | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyUp40¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$1,645 +150% | 3 |
| 192d | veindeep | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $941 | −$941 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.