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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 433d |  brodiaga | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,016 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 433d |  UwO2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $33,706 | +$34 +0.1% | 2 |
| 433d |  borabora-8362 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,265 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 433d | gotthedrip | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 433d |  0xd593334cc02d698d8527977A639F08Ed0834199 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $8,446 | −$24 −0.3% | — |
| 433d | Thin-Print4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $19,779 | +$935 +4.7% | 2 |
| 433d |  coinman26 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $22,185 | +$5,279 +24% | 3 |
| 433d | Hashbrown | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $3,895 | +$80 +2.0% | 2 |
| 433d |  tvirgl | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | −$38 −3.1% | — |
| 433d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | SellUp90¢ → 100¢ | $20,273 | −$2,194 −11% | — |
| 433d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $18,216 | +$4,464 +25% | 5 |
| 433d | printa6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | SellUp86¢ → 100¢ | $16,691 | −$2,772 −17% | — |
| 433d |  freedom-onchain2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $5,444 | +$2,734 +50% | 4 |
| 433d | EZZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | +$102 +5.3% | 2 |
| 433d | fdev25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$73 +5.3% | 2 |
| 433d | awei1248 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | SellUp89¢ → 100¢ | $1,774 | −$216 −12% | — |
| 433d | 0xd593334cc02d698d8527977A639F08Ed0834199 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $7,986 | +$485 +6.1% | 2 |
| 433d | printa4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $11,304 | +$1,405 +12% | 3 |
| 433d | Seagull15 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyDown15¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | −$1,206 −100% | 5 |
| 433d | banged | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp36¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$3,200 +178% | 6 |
| 433d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp34¢ → 100¢ | $1,737 | +$3,373 +194% | 6 |
| 434d | coinman22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyDown58¢ → 0¢ | $8,700 | −$8,700 −100% | 4 |
| 434d | Meirpeleg | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $1,546 | −$1,546 −100% | 4 |
| 434d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $6,258 | +$5,932 +95% | 4 |
| 434d | Andr3w | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $5,748 | −$5,748 −100% | 3 |
| 434d | Seagull15 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$933 +92% | 3 |
| 434d | reikano | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,633 | +$1,568 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 9 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 10 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 9 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 10 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
