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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyDown77¢ → 100¢ | $9,608 | +$2,864 +30% | 4 |
| 68d | Educated-Shoat | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyDown>99¢ | $12,257 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 68d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$119 +3.0% | 2 |
| 68d | easypredict3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyDown61¢ → 100¢ | $12,264 | +$7,688 +63% | 4 |
| 68d |  kinza23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | SellDown66¢ → 100¢ | $1,725 | −$898 −52% | — |
| 68d | kinza23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyDown71¢ → 100¢ | $1,861 | +$762 +41% | 4 |
| 68d | predict008 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | SellUp50¢ → 0¢ | $3,034 | +$3,034 +100% | — |
| 68d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,016 | −$1,016 −100% | 4 |
| 68d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp48¢ → 0¢ | $5,475 | −$5,475 −100% | 5 |
| 68d | predict008 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyUp47¢ → 0¢ | $2,824 | −$2,824 −100% | 5 |
| 69d | Vague-Mass2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $6,411 | +$6,121 +95% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.