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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 432d |  Senatore | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,058 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 432d |  tvirgl2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellUp91¢ → 100¢ | $2,131 | −$200 −9.4% | — |
| 432d | hberry6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $37,500 | +$1,856 +4.9% | 2 |
| 432d | eigen2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,752 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 432d |  Anjun | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 432d | stillyoung | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,971 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 432d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $10,222 | −$384 −3.8% | — |
| 432d | 0xa95bfdb5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $8,839 | +$349 +3.9% | 2 |
| 432d | happy666 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$61 +4.7% | 2 |
| 432d | Senatore | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$61 +2.0% | 2 |
| 432d |  VinnyViral2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellUp92¢ → 100¢ | $2,044 | −$178 −8.7% | — |
| 432d |  freedom-onchain3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $7,111 | +$1,777 +25% | 3 |
| 432d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $13,409 | +$2,249 +17% | 4 |
| 432d | printa2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellDown24¢ → 0¢ | $2,762 | +$2,762 +100% | — |
| 432d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellUp77¢ → 100¢ | $5,904 | −$1,760 −30% | — |
| 432d |  coinman22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $7,462 | +$519 +7.0% | 3 |
| 432d | VinnyViral4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $18,945 | +$1,085 +5.7% | 2 |
| 432d | affs207914 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $15,581 | +$1,796 +12% | 3 |
| 432d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,749 | −$85 −3.1% | — |
| 432d | printa | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $4,850 | −$150 −3.1% | — |
| 432d |  yA167 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$16 +1.1% | 2 |
| 432d | fdev25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$16 +1.1% | 2 |
| 432d |  borabora-836 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $3,308 | +$68 +2.0% | 2 |
| 432d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $4,899 | +$152 +3.1% | 2 |
| 432d | Mraka | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$43 −4.2% | — |
| 432d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$31 +3.1% | 2 |
| 432d | tvirgl2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $2,389 | +$381 +16% | 3 |
| 432d | Seagull15 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp57¢ → 100¢ | $1,887 | +$1,431 +76% | 4 |
| 432d | printa2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyDown64¢ → 0¢ | $6,400 | −$6,400 −100% | 4 |
| 432d | Andr3w | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellUp34¢ → 100¢ | $5,143 | −$10,033 −195% | — |
| 432d | Unruly-ElevatorNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $7,846 | −$7,846 −100% | 6 |
| 433d | coinman22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $7,132 | −$7,132 −100% | 4 |
| 433d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $3,213 | +$3,087 +96% | 4 |
| 433d | Andr3w | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $6,721 | −$6,721 −100% | 4 |
| 433d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $2,422 | +$2,147 +89% | 3 |
| 433d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,334 +89% | 3 |
Martiini4,305 shares
BeNi2,500 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 10 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 11 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 10 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 11 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.