Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 65d |  AgricultureSecretary | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $2,256 | +$70 +3.1% | 2 |
| 65d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04527 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown71¢ → 100¢ | $15,844 | +$6,563 +41% | 4 |
| 66d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown43¢ → 100¢ | $3,254 | +$4,233 +130% | 5 |
| 66d | Goldismoney | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyUp76¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 4 |
| 66d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyUp85¢ → 0¢ | $1,343 | −$1,343 −100% | 3 |
| 66d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyUp86¢ → 0¢ | $1,720 | −$1,720 −100% | 3 |
| 66d | 0x87b5…0fce2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyUp63¢ → 0¢ | $4,800 | −$4,800 −100% | 4 |
| 66d | chilloutTt | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | SellUp62¢ → 0¢ | $3,509 | +$3,509 +100% | — |
| 66d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyUp59¢ → 0¢ | $2,556 | −$2,556 −100% | 4 |
| 66d | Vague-Mass3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | SellUp58¢ → 0¢ | $10,529 | +$10,529 +100% | — |
| 66d | chilloutTt | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyUp53¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 66d | Vague-Mass3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyUp56¢ → 0¢ | $11,280 | −$11,280 −100% | 4 |
Facaie500 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.