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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 430d | kkkjjj123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,948 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 430d |  noreasapa | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,593 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 430d |  Bitcoin2Moon | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,600 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 430d | Concacsieutokhonglo | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,478 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 430d | deeeadf | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,789 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 430d |  coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $4,805 | −$195 −4.1% | — |
| 430d | kkkjjj123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,136 | +$22 +1.0% | 2 |
| 430d | printa | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $4,850 | +$150 +3.1% | 2 |
| 430d |  VinnyViral | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | SellUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | −$82 −5.3% | — |
| 430d | fdev25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | +$81 +5.3% | 2 |
| 430d | coinman27 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $25,591 | +$6,028 +24% | 3 |
| 430d | VinnyViral2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $7,545 | +$1,686 +22% | 4 |
| 430d | macarena | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $3,087 | +$724 +23% | 4 |
| 430d | affs207913 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $5,500 | +$1,500 +27% | 4 |
| 430d | dontmindme | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | SellUp80¢ → 100¢ | $1,972 | −$493 −25% | — |
| 430d |  vaslevs | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$409 +28% | 4 |
| 430d | Mraka2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | SellUp66¢ → 100¢ | $2,956 | −$1,534 −52% | — |
| 430d | 0xa95bfdb | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp45¢ → 100¢ | $1,353 | +$1,653 +122% | 4 |
| 430d | coinman22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyDown60¢ → 0¢ | $4,374 | −$4,374 −100% | 4 |
| 430d | dontmindme | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyDown43¢ → 0¢ | $1,011 | −$1,011 −100% | 4 |
| 431d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $4,641 | −$4,641 −100% | 4 |
| 431d | 0xa95bfdb | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyDown44¢ → 0¢ | $1,057 | −$1,057 −100% | 4 |
| 432d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$1,201 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 13 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 13 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
