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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65d | URAL17 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | SellDown>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 65d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,423 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 65d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 65d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b045212 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp40¢ → 0¢ | $19,828 | −$19,828 −100% | 10 |
| 65d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $9,462 | +$1,174 +12% | 2 |
| 65d | URAL17 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $11,144 | +$1,373 +12% | 2 |
| 65d | DrewVento2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | SellUp45¢ → 0¢ | $2,378 | +$2,378 +100% | — |
| 65d | anon.1980.1232 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp98¢ → 0¢ | $7,257 | −$7,257 −100% | 2 |
| 65d | DrewVento2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp75¢ → 0¢ | $3,780 | −$3,780 −100% | 4 |
| 65d | 0x87b5…0fce | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | SellDown36¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | −$2,327 −178% | — |
| 65d | suntori | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | SellDown42¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | −$2,019 −138% | — |
| 65d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyDown57¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$907 +75% | 5 |
| 65d | 0x87b5…0fce | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyDown47¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$1,386 +111% | 5 |
| 65d | suntori | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyDown45¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$1,773 +122% | 4 |
| 65d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp60¢ → 0¢ | $13,585 | −$13,585 −100% | 4 |
| 66d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyDown44¢ → 100¢ | $6,600 | +$8,400 +127% | 6 |
| 66d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyUp56¢ → 0¢ | $2,343 | −$2,343 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.