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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,529 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 60d |  67BrainRot | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | BuyUp>99¢ | $8,844 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d |  ZeinST | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,926 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 60d | Cavernous-Agriculture | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,547 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | anon.1980.1232 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $3,560 | +$68 +1.9% | 2 |
| 60d | IH2P2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $3,077 | −$129 −4.2% | — |
| 60d | IH2P | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $2,593 | +$136 +5.3% | 2 |
| 60d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $4,906 | +$2,293 +47% | 5 |
| 60d | kingofcoinflips11 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $38,172 | +$26,489 +69% | 4 |
| 60d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | BuyDown56¢ → 0¢ | $5,080 | −$5,080 −100% | 4 |
| 60d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | BuyDown58¢ → 0¢ | $1,347 | −$1,347 −100% | 4 |
| 60d | chacamariano | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | SellDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | +$1,020 +100% | — |
| 60d | kingofcoinflips10 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | BuyDown46¢ → 0¢ | $35,941 | −$35,941 −100% | 7 |
| 60d | Vague-Mass3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | BuyDown42¢ → 0¢ | $9,230 | −$9,230 −100% | 7 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.