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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $5,766 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 76d | cts977 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | −$25 −1.7% | — |
| 76d | vcbbchb | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | −$80 −7.4% | — |
| 76d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b045214 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $34,013 | +$8,161 +24% | 3 |
| 76d | 0xb34c…449c | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $1,459 | +$535 +37% | 4 |
| 76d | vcbbchb | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | SellDown26¢ → 0¢ | $1,624 | +$1,624 +100% | — |
| 76d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | SellUp77¢ → 100¢ | $5,402 | −$1,572 −29% | — |
| 76d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$567 +54% | 4 |
| 77d | trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BuyUp49¢ → 100¢ | $2,828 | +$2,943 +104% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.