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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 421d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,008 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 421d | AZwater | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp>99¢ | $14,398 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 421d | jansci | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,839 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 421d | affs207912 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $11,075 | +$415 +3.7% | 2 |
| 421d | printa15 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $59,628 | +$14,645 +25% | 4 |
| 421d | nogamblenocrypto11 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyDown42¢ → 0¢ | $29,227 | −$29,227 −100% | 10 |
| 421d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $14,837 | +$1,953 +13% | 3 | |
| 421d | fdev25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | +$81 +5.3% | 2 |
| 421d | allin692 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $5,169 | +$1,246 +24% | 3 |
| 421d | Expensive-Obesity5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | SellDown54¢ → 0¢ | $5,387 | +$5,387 +100% | — |
| 421d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp46¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$1,367 +117% | 5 |
| 421d | TomFung | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | SellUp39¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | −$2,524 −154% | — |
| 421d | Expensive-Obesity | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $1,060 | −$1,060 −100% | 5 |
| 421d | nogamblenocrypto7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp49¢ → 100¢ | $21,623 | +$22,871 +106% | 5 |
| 421d | printa2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $2,877 | −$2,877 −100% | 4 |
| 421d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | SellDown71¢ → 0¢ | $1,102 | +$1,102 +100% | — |
| 421d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyDown71¢ → 0¢ | $2,485 | −$2,485 −100% | 4 |
| 421d | nogamblenocrypto2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | SellUp32¢ → 100¢ | $3,164 | −$6,836 −216% | — |
| 421d | TomFung | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp48¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,167 +108% | 5 |
| 421d | allin69 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | SellUp48¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | −$1,409 −108% | — |
| 421d | 0xa95bfdb2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$1,800 +67% | 4 |
| 421d | Nutritious-Framework | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyDown44¢ → 0¢ | $9,740 | −$9,740 −100% | 7 |
| 421d | Nutritious-Framework | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | SellUp55¢ → 100¢ | $9,740 | −$8,111 −83% | — |
| 422d | Nutritious-Framework2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $7,934 | +$7,696 +97% | 5 |
| 422d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $5,200 | +$5,036 +97% | 4 | |
| 422d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $1,607 | −$1,607 −100% | 4 |
| 422d | Rin2x | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,225 | −$1,225 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 21 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 22 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 21 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 22 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.