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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 440d | deeeadf | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,069 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 440d |  Miffffy | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $27,524 | −$28 −0.1% | — |
| 440d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $15,388 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 440d | rwo | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,751 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 440d |  Senatore | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$42 +1.4% | 2 |
| 440d | Hashbrown | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $5,930 | +$80 +1.4% | 2 |
| 440d | Thin-Print3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $11,089 | +$815 +7.4% | 3 |
| 440d |  HelloWorld2024 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $3,591 | +$189 +5.3% | 2 |
| 440d | affs207912 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $5,540 | +$960 +17% | 3 |
| 440d | printa3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | SellUp85¢ → 100¢ | $10,204 | −$1,779 −17% | — |
| 440d |  0xd593334cc02d698d8527977A639F08Ed0834199 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $5,981 | +$894 +15% | 3 |
| 440d | Miffffy6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $22,274 | +$5,277 +24% | 3 |
| 440d | printa2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $5,319 | +$1,930 +36% | 4 |
| 440d | 0xa95bfdb | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $3,375 | +$1,125 +33% | 4 |
| 440d |  coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $2,041 | +$1,099 +54% | 4 |
| 440d | printa | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | SellDown35¢ → 0¢ | $2,156 | +$2,156 +100% | — |
| 440d | printa | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyDown73¢ → 0¢ | $2,837 | −$2,837 −100% | 4 |
| 440d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | SellUp36¢ → 100¢ | $2,525 | −$4,475 −177% | — |
| 440d |  LOL525 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyDown65¢ → 0¢ | $1,380 | −$1,380 −100% | 4 |
| 440d | coinman22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $7,260 | −$7,260 −100% | 4 |
| 441d | Exploiter | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$1,117 +96% | 3 |
| 441d | reikano | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,632 | +$1,568 +96% | 3 |
Lostaccount12343,000 shares
huoye121,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 2 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 3 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 2 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 3 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.