Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,469 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 75d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,000 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 75d | Incognitoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 |
| 75d | hk04as04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$154 +5.1% | 2 |
| 75d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyDown31¢ → 0¢ | $4,131 | −$4,131 −100% | 10 |
| 75d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp41¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | +$1,685 +144% | 5 |
| 75d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp46¢ → 100¢ | $2,518 | +$2,995 +119% | 5 |
| 75d | Zzzz87 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyDown68¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 75d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | SellDown63¢ → 0¢ | $1,856 | +$1,856 +100% | — |
| 75d | hbqasbanana02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyDown88¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 3 |
| 75d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyDown85¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 3 |
| 75d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BuyDown81¢ → 0¢ | $5,991 | −$5,991 −100% | 3 |
KOMZY861 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.