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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 439d |  freedom-onchain | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,172 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 439d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $15,062 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 439d | FreedomGundam | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,456 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 439d |  HelloWorld2024 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,736 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 439d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $7,168 | −$38 −0.5% | — |
| 439d | jfft1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp>99¢ | $15,888 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 439d |  yA167 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp100¢ | $1,005 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 439d | freedom-onchain | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | +$52 +4.7% | 2 |
| 439d | Thin-Print3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $10,173 | +$743 +7.3% | 3 |
| 439d | jhz11222 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $5,553 | +$1,226 +22% | 4 |
| 439d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $11,769 | +$4,065 +35% | 4 |
| 439d | GrindMo | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp76¢ → 100¢ | $3,405 | +$1,075 +32% | 4 |
| 439d |  coinman22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyDown40¢ → 0¢ | $3,764 | −$3,764 −100% | 7 |
| 439d | 0xa95bfdb | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | +$1,350 +43% | 4 |
| 439d | coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp61¢ → 100¢ | $2,520 | +$1,611 +64% | 4 |
| 439d | printa | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SellUp69¢ → 100¢ | $2,296 | −$1,031 −45% | — |
rishyr2,400 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 3 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 4 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 3 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 4 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.