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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,469 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 74d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $7,383 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 74d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $3,930 | +$494 +13% | 3 |
| 74d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SellUp95¢ → 100¢ | $4,799 | −$253 −5.3% | — |
| 74d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$52 +1.0% | 2 |
| 74d | Fitting-BirdbathNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$140 +2.9% | 2 |
| 74d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $2,773 | +$2,269 +82% | 5 |
| 74d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyDown46¢ → 0¢ | $1,915 | −$1,915 −100% | 5 |
| 74d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $8,703 | −$8,703 −100% | 4 |
| 74d |  kinza23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SellDown41¢ → 0¢ | $1,225 | +$1,225 +100% | — |
| 75d | Vague-Mass2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $4,407 | −$4,407 −100% | 5 |
| 75d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $2,496 | +$2,126 +85% | 4 |
KOMZY500 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.