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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72d | Humble-Priest | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,018 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $2,968 | +$2,419 +82% | 5 |
| 72d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $9,167 | −$9,167 −100% | 5 |
| 72d | 0xfd8e…bb98 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? | SellDown63¢ → 0¢ | $3,906 | +$3,906 +100% | — |
| 72d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? | SellDown53¢ → 0¢ | $1,362 | +$1,362 +100% | — |
| 72d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? | BuyDown38¢ → 0¢ | $1,142 | −$1,142 −100% | 5 |
| 72d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $2,256 | +$1,014 +45% | 4 |
| 73d | Vague-Mass2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $7,326 | −$7,326 −100% | 5 |
| 73d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $5,345 | +$5,135 +96% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.