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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,472 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 71d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $2,518 | +$752 +30% | 4 |
| 71d | cobaltharborfmz | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | +$204 +17% | 3 |
| 71d | wtf99999 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $2,109 | +$235 +11% | 3 |
| 71d |  Mahakaal468 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellUp78¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | −$313 −28% | — |
| 71d | kingofcoinflips9 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $27,014 | +$18,541 +69% | 4 |
| 71d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $5,792 | +$2,562 +44% | 4 |
| 71d | kingofcoinflips5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyDown59¢ → 0¢ | $14,569 | −$14,569 −100% | 4 |
| 72d | Vague-Mass2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $2,426 | −$2,426 −100% | 4 |
aize52,571 shares
KOMZY703 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.