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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,429 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | Humble-Priest | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$151 +12% | 3 |
| 70d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04527 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $15,764 | +$7,009 +44% | 4 |
| 70d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $4,012 | −$4,012 −100% | 4 |
| 70d | 0x87b5…0fce | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,113 +70% | 4 |
| 70d | 0xfd8e…bb98 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8? | SellUp58¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | −$805 −72% | — |
| 70d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $10,413 | +$8,774 +84% | 4 |
| 70d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8? | BuyDown55¢ → 0¢ | $10,931 | −$10,931 −100% | 4 |
| 71d | Mindless-Nectar | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8? | BuyDown55¢ → 0¢ | $1,026 | −$1,026 −100% | 4 |
| 71d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8? | BuyDown47¢ → 0¢ | $1,172 | −$1,172 −100% | 4 |
Ana-Telle542 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.