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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 434d | kkkjjj123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 434d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | SellUp>99¢ | $34,945 | −$35 −0.1% | — |
| 434d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,141 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 434d | eigen2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp>99¢ | $12,662 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 434d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $7,926 | +$80 +1.0% | 2 |
| 434d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 434d | Thin-Print7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $30,864 | +$520 +1.7% | 2 |
| 434d | printa5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $19,124 | +$723 +3.8% | 2 |
| 434d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $5,848 | +$152 +2.6% | 2 |
| 434d | hberry | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$40 +1.0% | 2 |
| 434d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $7,989 | +$164 +2.0% | 2 | |
| 434d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | SellUp88¢ → 100¢ | $13,044 | −$1,778 −14% | — | |
| 434d | fdev25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | +$69 +5.3% | 2 |
| 434d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $4,244 | +$691 +16% | 3 |
| 434d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $43,303 | +$10,963 +25% | 3 | |
| 434d | FlowMo | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $4,145 | +$619 +15% | 3 |
| 434d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,590 | +$349 +22% | 3 | |
| 434d | Kaiser97 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$704 +23% | 3 |
| 434d | printa3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | SellUp81¢ → 100¢ | $9,740 | −$2,298 −24% | — |
| 434d | 0x3233…2adc | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | SellUp86¢ → 100¢ | $1,591 | −$259 −16% | — |
| 434d | 0xa95bfdb | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyDown36¢ → 0¢ | $1,665 | −$1,665 −100% | 5 |
| 434d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyDown44¢ → 0¢ | $15,215 | −$15,215 −100% | 7 | |
| 434d | printa | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | SellDown29¢ → 0¢ | $1,210 | +$1,210 +100% | — |
| 434d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | SellDown38¢ → 0¢ | $1,900 | +$1,900 +100% | — | |
| 435d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $3,157 | +$2,782 +88% | 4 |
| 435d | reikano | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$1,068 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 8 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 9 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 8 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 9 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.