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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,513 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | cobaltharborfmz | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | +$19 +1.1% | 2 |
| 69d |  ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $4,059 | +$214 +5.3% | 2 |
| 69d | Embellished-Cruise | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$65 +5.3% | 2 |
| 69d |  Albedo00 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $6,990 | +$526 +7.5% | 3 |
| 69d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b045217 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $33,946 | +$14,527 +43% | 4 |
| 69d | 0xfd8e…bb983 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | SellUp71¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | −$1,981 −42% | — |
| 69d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyDown39¢ → 0¢ | $2,077 | −$2,077 −100% | 6 |
| 69d | Mindless-Nectar | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | SellDown85¢ → 0¢ | $1,052 | +$1,052 +100% | — |
| 69d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyDown73¢ → 0¢ | $4,624 | −$4,624 −100% | 4 |
| 69d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp20¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$5,200 +400% | 5 |
| 69d | 0x87b5…0fce2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | SellUp37¢ → 100¢ | $4,328 | −$7,396 −171% | — |
| 69d | 0x87b5…0fce3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyUp48¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$4,843 +108% | 5 |
| 70d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $4,240 | −$4,240 −100% | 4 |
pro.crypto725 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.