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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | SellUp>99¢ | $12,700 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 309d | nqcc268 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 309d | Sharky6999 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,382 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d |  zwxokx2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,066 | +$19 +0.4% | 2 |
| 309d | nqcc268 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,170 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 309d | brr694205 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $6,890 | +$1,191 +17% | 3 |
| 309d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced137 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyDown43¢ → 0¢ | $10,848 | −$10,848 −100% | 8 |
| 309d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced1311 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyUp62¢ → 100¢ | $24,150 | +$14,828 +61% | 4 |
| 309d | Cdose | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | SellDown60¢ → 0¢ | $2,367 | +$2,367 +100% | — |
| 309d | brr694204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | SellUp86¢ → 100¢ | $4,730 | −$764 −16% | — |
| 309d | Thin-Print3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $5,382 | +$985 +18% | 3 |
| 309d | redvinny3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | SellUp62¢ → 100¢ | $4,644 | −$2,876 −62% | — |
| 309d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | SellDown37¢ → 0¢ | $2,221 | +$2,221 +100% | — |
| 309d | redvinny2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $3,044 | +$2,068 +68% | 5 |
| 309d | tryingmyluckhere | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 5 |
| 309d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 309d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | SellUp63¢ → 100¢ | $3,026 | −$1,768 −58% | — |
| 309d | Pinkfong | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,374 | +$25 +0.7% | 2 |
| 309d | southfly | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,703 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 309d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$91 +7.5% | 2 |
| 310d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? | BuyUp64¢ → 100¢ | $1,310 | +$737 +56% | 4 |
S01T0046511,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 11 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 12 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 11 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 12 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.