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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,097 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 308d | dokdo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | SellDown86¢ → 100¢ | $4,723 | −$777 −16% | — |
| 308d | winwinwin321 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,043 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 308d | nqcc268 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 308d | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,781 | −$28 −1.0% | — | |
| 308d | alex562 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$40 +1.0% | 2 |
| 308d | nqcc268 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$56 +4.2% | 2 |
| 308d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced1368 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyDown54¢ → 100¢ | $96,293 | +$80,588 +84% | 4 |
| 308d | loveheng | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $4,883 | +$397 +8.1% | 3 |
| 308d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $7,153 | +$622 +8.7% | 3 |
| 308d | kingofcoinflips27 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyDown64¢ → 100¢ | $53,063 | +$29,260 +55% | 4 |
| 308d | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$309 +12% | 3 | |
| 308d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | SellUp53¢ → 0¢ | $3,150 | +$3,150 +100% | — |
| 308d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced1371 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyUp64¢ → 0¢ | $93,717 | −$93,717 −100% | 4 |
| 308d | cccccccccccccc | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | SellDown57¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | −$958 −75% | — |
| 308d | dokdo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyDown47¢ → 100¢ | $2,610 | +$2,887 +111% | 5 |
| 308d | balabala0 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyUp38¢ → 0¢ | $1,258 | −$1,258 −100% | 5 |
| 308d | exceeding6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | SellDown52¢ → 100¢ | $9,151 | −$8,308 −91% | — |
| 308d | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | SellUp58¢ → 0¢ | $1,028 | +$1,028 +100% | — | |
| 308d | bitib | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | SellUp70¢ → 0¢ | $1,254 | +$1,254 +100% | — |
| 308d | TooMunchWinning | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyUp80¢ → 0¢ | $1,678 | −$1,678 −100% | 3 |
| 308d | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyUp77¢ → 0¢ | $1,375 | −$1,375 −100% | 4 | |
| 308d | kingofcoinflips21 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyUp65¢ → 0¢ | $27,968 | −$27,968 −100% | 4 |
| 309d | Aachau | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13? | BuyDown49¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$1,352 +104% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 12 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 13 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 12 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 13 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.