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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306d | Kinouwa | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 307d | Hashbrown4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $31,429 | +$160 +0.5% | 2 |
| 307d | hallok | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14? | BuyDown>99¢ | $10,167 | +$39 +0.4% | 2 |
| 307d | Parched-Banking | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $7,139 | +$72 +1.0% | 2 |
| 307d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced132 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14? | BuyDown73¢ → 100¢ | $2,387 | +$861 +36% | 4 |
| 307d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14? | BuyUp20¢ → 0¢ | $1,011 | −$1,011 −100% | 5 |
| 307d | balabala03 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14? | BuyUp39¢ → 0¢ | $4,719 | −$4,719 −100% | 7 |
| 307d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced132 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14? | BuyUp55¢ → 0¢ | $3,493 | −$3,493 −100% | 4 |
| 307d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14? | BuyDown52¢ → 100¢ | $6,083 | +$5,635 +93% | 4 |
| 307d | theonlyking | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14? | BuyUp54¢ → 0¢ | $4,137 | −$4,137 −100% | 4 |
| 308d | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | −$1,005 −100% | 4 | |
| 308d | PathologicPathologist | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 13 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 14 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 13 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 14 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.