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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306d | amused85 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,497 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 306d | Hashbrown2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $26,431 | +$75 +0.3% | 2 |
| 306d | makelook2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $10,833 | +$42 +0.4% | 2 |
| 306d | WHYLLLLL | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $9,825 | +$43 +0.4% | 2 |
| 306d | 0x70a8…c32f | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15? | SellDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | −$73 −5.3% | — |
| 306d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $3,017 | +$93 +3.1% | 2 |
| 306d | xrmls | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$82 +6.4% | 3 |
| 306d | dokdo | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15? | BuyUp83¢ → 0¢ | $2,075 | −$2,075 −100% | 3 |
| 306d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced133 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15? | BuyUp85¢ → 0¢ | $9,990 | −$9,990 −100% | 3 |
| 306d | easypredict3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15? | BuyDown35¢ → 100¢ | $5,041 | +$9,318 +185% | 9 |
| 307d |  Bezdelnik2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15? | BuyUp49¢ → 0¢ | $3,001 | −$3,001 −100% | 4 |
| 307d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $3,753 | −$3,753 −100% | 4 |
Bezdelnik8,149 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 14 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 15 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 14 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 15 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.