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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303d | xrmls | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18? | SellUp>99¢ | $12,281 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 303d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18? | SellUp>99¢ | $8,116 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 303d |  baseballl | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,030 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 303d | 1454 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,560 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 303d | TheInscrutableMaverick | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,487 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 303d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced135 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $14,493 | +$3,053 +21% | 3 |
| 303d | convictionking | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | +$85 +5.3% | 2 |
| 303d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18? | BuyDown14¢ → 0¢ | $1,186 | −$1,186 −100% | 6 |
| 303d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $3,032 | +$1,238 +41% | 4 |
| 303d | Aachau | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,597 | −$1,597 −100% | 4 |
| 304d | cccccccccccccc | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18? | SellDown66¢ → 0¢ | $1,210 | +$1,210 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 17 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 18 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 17 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 18 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.