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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $6,861 | −$510 −7.4% | — |
| 301d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced1325 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $42,746 | +$10,052 +24% | 3 |
| 301d |  hohi | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20? | SellDown35¢ → 0¢ | $1,310 | +$1,310 +100% | — |
| 301d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced138 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20? | BuyDown31¢ → 0¢ | $11,112 | −$11,112 −100% | 13 |
| 301d |  0x7777 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$438 +25% | 4 |
| 301d | Peaceful-AnimeNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20? | SellUp80¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | −$254 −25% | — |
| 301d | Incompatible-DumbwaiterNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$722 +24% | 3 |
| 301d | Thorny-PeenNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20? | SellDown39¢ → 0¢ | $1,193 | +$1,193 +100% | — |
| 301d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20? | BuyUp61¢ → 100¢ | $6,009 | +$3,797 +63% | 4 |
| 302d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20? | BuyUp66¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$1,700 +52% | 4 |
Libitum5,000 shares
reiwa1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 19 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 20 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 19 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 20 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.