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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 294d | RochyRD | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,169 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | TooMunchWinning | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,028 | +$47 +1.2% | 2 |
| 295d | Basketking2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | SellDown85¢ → 100¢ | $11,348 | −$2,029 −18% | — |
| 295d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$160 +8.7% | 3 |
| 295d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced137 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | BuyDown57¢ → 100¢ | $10,383 | +$7,812 +75% | 5 |
| 295d | Basketking2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | BuyDown30¢ → 100¢ | $3,361 | +$7,835 +233% | 9 |
| 295d | cccccccccccccc | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | SellUp86¢ → 0¢ | $1,244 | +$1,244 +100% | — |
| 295d | Noclo | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | BuyUp88¢ → 0¢ | $1,760 | −$1,760 −100% | 3 |
| 295d | easypredict4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | BuyUp87¢ → 0¢ | $6,547 | −$6,547 −100% | 3 |
| 295d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced132 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | BuyUp74¢ → 0¢ | $3,754 | −$3,754 −100% | 4 |
| 295d | jacobib2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | BuyUp64¢ → 0¢ | $3,010 | −$3,010 −100% | 4 |
| 295d | bbbo | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | BuyUp76¢ → 0¢ | $1,028 | −$1,028 −100% | 4 |
| 295d | jacobib | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | SellUp70¢ → 0¢ | $1,829 | +$1,829 +100% | — |
| 295d | l-0 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | SellUp80¢ → 0¢ | $2,178 | +$2,178 +100% | — |
| 295d | Gekko.Liu | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | BuyUp77¢ → 0¢ | $1,538 | −$1,538 −100% | 4 |
| 295d | l-0 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | BuyUp80¢ → 0¢ | $2,212 | −$2,212 −100% | 3 |
| 295d | MoneyMoney111 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | BuyUp76¢ → 0¢ | $1,256 | −$1,256 −100% | 4 |
| 296d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $4,007 | +$4,007 +100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 25 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 26 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 25 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 26 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.