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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 294d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,425 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | +$22 +1.4% | 2 |
| 294d |  HighRoller | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27? | BuyDown5¢ → 0¢ | $1,052 | −$1,052 −100% | 5 |
| 294d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$43 +4.3% | 2 |
| 294d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $4,538 | −$330 −7.3% | — |
| 294d | kingofcoinflips19 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $35,942 | +$6,838 +19% | 3 |
| 294d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $2,249 | +$250 +11% | 3 |
| 295d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,364 +79% | 4 |
HighRoller19,307 shares
Fartard9,724 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 26 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 27 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 26 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 27 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.