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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,346 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,226 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 292d | probability1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $16,770 | +$169 +1.0% | 2 |
| 292d | dumbbell3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 292d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896616 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | BuyDown57¢ → 100¢ | $17,967 | +$13,333 +74% | 5 |
| 292d | Southin3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | SellDown60¢ → 100¢ | $6,114 | −$4,158 −68% | — |
| 292d | Southin2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | BuyDown66¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$2,054 +51% | 4 |
| 292d | Cptrade4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | BuyDown54¢ → 100¢ | $9,508 | +$7,945 +84% | 5 |
| 292d | Ready-Duckling | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | SellDown41¢ → 100¢ | $2,276 | −$3,294 −145% | — |
| 292d | yli188 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | SellUp57¢ → 0¢ | $1,625 | +$1,625 +100% | — |
| 292d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | SellUp50¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | +$3,000 +100% | — |
| 292d | justhuman.eth | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | SellUp25¢ → 0¢ | $1,490 | +$1,490 +100% | — |
| 292d | Paula202246 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | SellDown69¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | −$525 −46% | — |
| 292d | justhuman.eth | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | BuyUp41¢ → 0¢ | $2,401 | −$2,401 −100% | 6 |
| 292d | yli188 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | SellDown44¢ → 100¢ | $1,639 | −$2,086 −127% | — |
| 292d | JobMax | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | SellDown33¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | −$2,191 −202% | — |
| 292d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | SellUp91¢ → 0¢ | $1,827 | +$1,827 +100% | — |
| 292d | Shiny-Hope | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | BuyUp95¢ → 0¢ | $2,300 | −$2,300 −100% | 2 |
| 292d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced132 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | BuyUp82¢ → 0¢ | $2,292 | −$2,292 −100% | 3 |
| 292d | Cptrade | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | BuyUp86¢ → 0¢ | $3,010 | −$3,010 −100% | 3 |
| 292d | TEFL0ND0N | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | BuyDown54¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$946 +87% | 4 |
| 292d | TEFL0ND0N | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | SellUp46¢ → 0¢ | $1,087 | +$1,087 +100% | — |
| 292d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 292d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$1,028 +100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 28 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 29 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 28 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 29 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.