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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 290d | xiaohui18 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,162 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 290d | Magnificent-Still | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,595 | −$21 −0.5% | — |
| 290d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896616 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyDown53¢ → 100¢ | $16,699 | +$14,732 +88% | 5 |
| 290d |  hd7772 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyDown>99¢ | $19,734 | +$49 +0.2% | 2 |
| 290d | l-0 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,385 | +$24 +1.0% | 2 |
| 290d |  dukunmarket | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$129 +6.4% | 3 |
| 290d | Magnificent-Still2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyDown71¢ → 100¢ | $3,316 | +$1,343 +41% | 5 |
| 290d | redvinny11 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyDown56¢ → 100¢ | $41,380 | +$32,546 +79% | 5 |
| 290d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896612 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyUp40¢ → 0¢ | $3,221 | −$3,221 −100% | 7 |
| 290d | redvinny3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | SellDown47¢ → 100¢ | $6,455 | −$7,214 −112% | — |
| 290d | lucaspk | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyUp47¢ → 0¢ | $2,090 | −$2,090 −100% | 5 |
| 290d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyDown60¢ → 100¢ | $3,982 | +$2,685 +67% | 4 |
| 290d | YGs | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyUp61¢ → 0¢ | $3,049 | −$3,049 −100% | 5 |
| 290d | jacobib | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | SellUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,387 | +$1,387 +100% | — |
| 290d |  shusno1fan | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | SellUp42¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | +$1,120 +100% | — |
| 290d | shusno1fan | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyUp41¢ → 0¢ | $1,104 | −$1,104 −100% | 4 |
| 291d | Bitcoin112 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyUp49¢ → 0¢ | $3,101 | −$3,101 −100% | 4 |
| 291d | TEFL0ND0N | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | SellUp38¢ → 0¢ | $1,752 | +$1,752 +100% | — |
| 291d | 0xc990…7f4f | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyUp38¢ → 0¢ | $2,334 | −$2,334 −100% | 6 |
| 291d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | BuyDown65¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$700 +54% | 4 |
| 291d | shusno1fan | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31? | SellDown57¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | −$1,198 −76% | — |
Bezdelnik3,850 shares
Fartard2,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 30 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 31 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 30 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 31 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.