Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316d |  primosclub23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,237 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | guoguoge | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 316d | rambokkk | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$34 +3.1% | 2 |
| 316d | Aggravating-Treaty | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,445 | +$40 +1.6% | 2 |
| 316d | Dependable-Honoree | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4? | SellDown37¢ → 0¢ | $1,052 | +$1,052 +100% | — |
| 316d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced135 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $6,939 | −$6,939 −100% | 5 |
| 316d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced1310 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $19,683 | +$5,897 +30% | 4 |
| 316d | Bhupendrasingh | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $4,743 | +$357 +7.5% | 3 |
| 317d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $3,250 | +$449 +14% | 3 |
| 317d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $1,298 | +$586 +45% | 5 |
donglai661,052 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 3 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 4 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 3 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 4 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.