Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316d | amused85 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | guoguoge | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $10,735 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | newitt2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,573 | +$28 +0.8% | 2 |
| 316d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | −$23 −1.9% | — |
| 316d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced135 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | BuyDown74¢ → 100¢ | $12,093 | +$4,235 +35% | 4 |
| 316d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | BuyDown83¢ → 100¢ | $3,084 | +$645 +21% | 3 |
| 316d | claudecoder342 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $2,361 | +$190 +8.1% | 3 |
| 316d | QuadroCat | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,484 | +$31 +1.3% | 2 |
| 316d | easypredict3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $10,678 | +$736 +6.9% | 3 |
| 316d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $2,634 | +$359 +14% | 3 |
| 316d |  0x7777 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | SellDown81¢ → 100¢ | $1,505 | −$353 −23% | — |
| 316d | Retamz | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | BuyDown83¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$247 +21% | 3 |
| 316d | Shiny-Hope | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | SellUp28¢ → 0¢ | $1,185 | +$1,185 +100% | — |
| 316d | Shiny-Hope | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | BuyUp40¢ → 0¢ | $1,646 | −$1,646 −100% | 5 |
| 317d | amused85 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5? | BuyDown57¢ → 100¢ | $3,420 | +$2,580 +75% | 4 |
saumama9,650 shares
Endgamepol1,822 shares
samhain4ik1,050 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 4 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 5 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 4 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 5 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.