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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 315d | 13s1d5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,400 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d | rwo | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,989 | +$29 +0.4% | 2 |
| 315d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 6? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 3 |
| 315d | easypredict7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 6? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $21,766 | +$4,014 +18% | 3 |
| 315d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 6? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | +$150 +11% | 3 |
| 315d | moje999 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 6? | BuyDown38¢ → 0¢ | $7,446 | −$7,446 −100% | 8 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 5 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 6 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 5 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 6 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.