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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311d | karenkarl | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,277 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 311d | TooMunchWinning3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,953 | +$23 +0.4% | 2 |
| 311d | penguinrainbows | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,000 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 312d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced1311 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $15,306 | +$4,324 +28% | 3 |
| 312d | exceeding4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $7,020 | +$812 +12% | 3 |
| 312d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$61 +5.3% | 2 |
| 312d | Thin-Print3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $12,112 | +$708 +5.8% | 2 |
| 312d | karenkarl | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$230 +22% | 4 |
| 312d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9? | BuyDown31¢ → 0¢ | $1,550 | −$1,550 −100% | 6 |
| 312d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9? | BuyDown46¢ → 0¢ | $1,159 | −$1,159 −100% | 4 |
| 312d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9? | SellUp54¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | −$1,380 −85% | — |
| 312d |  Bezdelnik | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$1,326 +93% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 8 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 9 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 8 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 9 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.