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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256d |  msm299 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,596 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 256d |  Bezdelnik | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $6,594 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 257d | litter857 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,570 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 257d | averyteresa6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown4¢ → 0¢ | $13,530 | −$13,530 −100% | 24 |
| 257d | averyteresa3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown3¢ → 0¢ | $6,546 | +$6,546 +100% | — |
| 257d | GaleMartin20 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $26,107 | +$3,912 +15% | 3 |
| 257d | 0x1461cC6e12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $51,520 | +$19,147 +37% | 4 |
| 257d | 5f5a8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellUp87¢ → 100¢ | $13,608 | −$2,088 −15% | — |
| 257d | xberger | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,471 | +$61 +4.2% | 2 |
| 257d | 5f5a4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $6,825 | +$1,349 +20% | 3 |
| 257d | xberger14 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown24¢ → 0¢ | $40,948 | +$40,948 +100% | — |
| 257d | xberger11 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown27¢ → 0¢ | $46,072 | −$46,072 −100% | 21 |
| 257d | exceeding13 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $23,400 | +$2,600 +11% | 3 |
| 257d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellUp89¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | −$330 −12% | — |
| 257d | 0x1461cC6e12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown28¢ → 0¢ | $24,695 | −$24,695 −100% | 17 |
| 257d | carolinetaylor24 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown35¢ → 0¢ | $98,108 | −$98,108 −100% | 18 |
| 257d | carolinetaylor22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown32¢ → 0¢ | $86,095 | +$86,095 +100% | — |
| 257d | Silent-Frustration | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$319 +30% | 5 |
| 257d | Envious-Heyday | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellUp69¢ → 100¢ | $1,894 | −$867 −46% | — |
| 257d |  letscookg | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$225 +20% | 3 |
| 257d | ace | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellUp61¢ → 100¢ | $2,580 | −$1,675 −65% | — |
| 257d |  sportsgaza | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown40¢ → 0¢ | $1,447 | +$1,447 +100% | — |
| 257d | ascetic0x | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown40¢ → 0¢ | $1,255 | +$1,255 +100% | — |
| 257d | Envious-Heyday | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp63¢ → 100¢ | $1,747 | +$1,015 +58% | 5 |
| 257d | 0xd97c…f277 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown36¢ → 0¢ | $1,062 | +$1,062 +100% | — |
| 257d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown38¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | +$1,140 +100% | — |
| 257d | Silver-CompositeNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp63¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$720 +60% | 8 |
| 257d | sibuliao2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellUp44¢ → 100¢ | $2,705 | −$3,499 −129% | — |
| 257d | bukandia | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown45¢ → 0¢ | $1,198 | +$1,198 +100% | — |
| 257d | 1337zzz1337 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown65¢ → 0¢ | $1,362 | +$1,362 +100% | — |
| 257d | 1337zzz1337 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown72¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 257d | Kindly-IgnoranceNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown69¢ → 0¢ | $2,121 | +$2,121 +100% | — |
| 257d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown69¢ → 0¢ | $1,179 | −$1,179 −100% | 4 |
| 257d | Kindly-IgnoranceNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown57¢ → 0¢ | $3,580 | −$3,580 −100% | 6 |
| 257d | smartttt2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | SellUp23¢ → 100¢ | $3,907 | −$13,037 −334% | — |
| 257d | exceeding8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown81¢ → 0¢ | $12,011 | −$12,011 −100% | 3 |
| 257d | bukandia | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown90¢ → 0¢ | $1,920 | −$1,920 −100% | 3 |
| 257d | smartttt2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp35¢ → 100¢ | $8,252 | +$15,409 +187% | 10 |
| 257d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $2,174 | −$2,174 −100% | 4 |
| 257d | sibuliao | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp31¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$2,433 +227% | 4 |
| 257d | easyclap3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp38¢ → 100¢ | $5,900 | +$9,439 +160% | 8 |
| 257d | Kindly-IgnoranceNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp47¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | +$1,284 +113% | 6 |
| 258d |  aleksandmoney | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$1,027 +93% | 3 |
GeronimoApache2,255 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.