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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237d |  0x1588 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,528 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 238d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21? | BuyUp>99¢ | $23,000 | +$86 +0.4% | 2 |
| 238d | 0x11981FC3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,530 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 238d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $4,892 | −$176 −3.6% | — |
| 238d | ascetic0x2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $4,405 | +$184 +4.2% | 2 |
| 238d | 5f5a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $2,460 | +$233 +9.5% | 3 |
| 238d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21? | SellUp85¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | −$227 −18% | — |
| 238d | 0x1461cC6e | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$306 +30% | 4 |
mohitpal1,200 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.