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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 268d | Bobbythechef | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,101 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 268d | IwillRichSoon | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,646 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 269d |  0x1588 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,185 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 269d | Identical-Schooner | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,195 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 269d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,147 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 269d | AZwater | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,359 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 269d | ccpy2007 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,039 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 269d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b8966114 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown56¢ → 100¢ | $25,772 | +$20,657 +80% | 4 |
| 269d | Bobbythechef | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$69 +6.7% | 3 |
| 269d | Bitcoin112 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | SellDown87¢ → 100¢ | $4,015 | −$606 −15% | — |
| 269d | jjbo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown70¢ → 100¢ | $4,373 | +$1,867 +43% | 4 |
| 269d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown91¢ → 100¢ | $2,073 | +$205 +9.9% | 3 |
| 269d |  RobinMarketHood2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $5,988 | +$1,544 +26% | 4 |
| 269d | meloncilloapostador | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyUp35¢ → 0¢ | $1,733 | −$1,733 −100% | 6 |
| 269d | meloncilloapostador | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | SellDown67¢ → 100¢ | $1,733 | −$853 −49% | — |
| 269d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyUp45¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 5 |
| 269d | Davox1019 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | SellUp58¢ → 0¢ | $1,612 | +$1,612 +100% | — |
| 269d | wizwobb | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | SellUp59¢ → 0¢ | $1,046 | +$1,046 +100% | — |
| 269d | Bitcoin112 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown61¢ → 100¢ | $2,799 | +$1,822 +65% | 4 |
| 269d | limit19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | SellUp28¢ → 0¢ | $1,937 | +$1,937 +100% | — |
| 269d |  hitlerfan | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | SellDown69¢ → 100¢ | $2,558 | −$1,149 −45% | — |
| 269d | hitlerfan | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$121 +8.7% | 3 |
| 269d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown91¢ → 100¢ | $7,836 | +$775 +9.9% | 3 |
| 269d | limit19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyUp25¢ → 0¢ | $1,893 | −$1,893 −100% | 7 |
| 269d | wizwobb | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyUp33¢ → 0¢ | $1,522 | −$1,522 −100% | 5 |
| 269d | exceeding10 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $15,716 | +$3,062 +19% | 3 |
JaylenBrownRightHand4,000 shares
Bezdelnik3,294 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.