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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262d | 0x319f…4284 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 28? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,079 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | 0x319f…4284 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 28? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $3,810 | +$164 +4.3% | 2 |
| 262d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 28? | SellUp89¢ → 100¢ | $2,688 | −$343 −13% | — | |
| 262d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 28? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $2,756 | +$275 +10.0% | 3 | |
| 262d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 28? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$120 +11% | 3 |
| 262d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 28? | BuyUp61¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$701 +64% | 4 |
| 262d | djaywc | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 28? | SellUp59¢ → 100¢ | $2,883 | −$2,002 −69% | — |
| 262d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 28? | SellDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,063 | +$1,063 +100% | — |
| 263d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 28? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,102 | −$1,102 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.