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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 285d |  XiJinpingCexo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $6,849 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | TooMunchWinning | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,299 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 285d | ujack87 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,299 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 285d | 2470 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,075 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 285d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,428 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 285d | toanhtoanh | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 285d | easyclap2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $11,150 | +$839 +7.5% | 2 |
| 285d | bbbo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$110 +9.9% | 3 |
| 285d | johnsonn | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$172 +4.3% | 2 |
| 285d | steveZhouOKX | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | SellUp91¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | −$99 −9.3% | — |
| 285d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | −$180 −6.4% | — |
| 285d | ZRGyoyo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$53 +5.3% | 2 |
| 285d | moneyoverflow | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$256 +7.5% | 2 |
| 285d |  JaylenBrownRightHand | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$180 +9.9% | 3 |
| 285d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$209 +19% | 3 |
| 285d | S4AI | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | SellUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | −$282 −22% | — |
| 286d | Bulala | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyDown17¢ → 0¢ | $1,573 | −$1,573 −100% | 7 |
| 286d | Cynic2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | SellUp82¢ → 100¢ | $9,559 | −$2,098 −22% | — |
| 286d | Magnificent-Still | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyDown55¢ → 0¢ | $3,200 | −$3,200 −100% | 5 |
| 286d | korgige | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 287d |  Bezdelnik | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $2,002 | +$1,923 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.