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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 281d | Critical-BeancurdNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,949 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 281d |  fdhgfvdrgfefcefvvcfvfvfrvrfgrfgvrfvvvgv | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | SellUp>99¢ | $25,996 | −$26 −0.1% | — |
| 281d | thezequi850 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | −$105 −7.5% | — |
| 281d | exceeding12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $19,324 | +$2,678 +14% | 3 |
| 281d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896618 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | BuyUp58¢ → 100¢ | $13,802 | +$9,842 +71% | 5 |
| 281d | exceeding3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | SellUp63¢ → 100¢ | $5,670 | −$3,330 −59% | — |
| 281d | fdhgfvdrgfefcefvvcfvfvfrvrfgrfgvrfvvvgv | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $11,148 | +$1,103 +9.9% | 3 |
| 281d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $3,113 | −$219 −7.0% | — |
| 281d | limit19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,383 | −$110 −7.9% | — |
| 281d | NiNo713 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | SellUp84¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$192 −19% | — |
| 281d | redvinny4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | BuyDown86¢ → 0¢ | $24,497 | −$24,497 −100% | 3 |
| 281d | exceeding4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | SellDown87¢ → 0¢ | $9,917 | +$9,917 +100% | — |
| 281d | Identical-Schooner | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | SellDown87¢ → 0¢ | $1,437 | +$1,437 +100% | — |
| 281d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | BuyDown65¢ → 0¢ | $2,159 | −$2,159 −100% | 4 |
| 281d | Bitcoin112 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | SellDown64¢ → 0¢ | $10,171 | +$10,171 +100% | — |
| 281d | sbcrr333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | BuyUp39¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | +$2,379 +156% | 5 |
| 281d | DragonExplorer2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | SellDown59¢ → 0¢ | $2,362 | +$2,362 +100% | — |
| 281d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896613 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $6,941 | −$6,941 −100% | 4 |
| 281d | kingofcoinflips5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | BuyUp58¢ → 100¢ | $7,014 | +$5,080 +72% | 4 |
| 282d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | BuyDown40¢ → 0¢ | $6,401 | −$6,401 −100% | 7 |
| 282d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $3,856 | −$3,856 −100% | 4 |
| 282d | DragonExplorer | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.