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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 464d |  Miffffy | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $8,023 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 464d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,398 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 464d | Sharky6999 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $11,919 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 464d | keborgan | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 464d | Alabjack231 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,770 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 464d | edc-102 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 464d | rwo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $22,919 | +$31 +0.1% | 2 |
| 464d |  brodiaga | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $13,222 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 464d |  UwO | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $40,955 | +$104 +0.3% | 2 |
| 464d | precision2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $9,497 | −$157 −1.7% | — |
| 464d | 7979797979797979 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,502 | +$27 +0.6% | 2 |
| 464d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $10,581 | +$109 +1.0% | 2 |
| 464d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $12,797 | +$1,364 +11% | 3 |
| 464d | Besiege | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 2 |
| 464d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $3,360 | +$140 +4.2% | 2 |
| 465d |  shihao.eth | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,919 | +$101 +5.3% | 2 |
| 465d |  JaidenAnimations | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$200 +5.3% | 2 |
| 465d | Rin2x | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $4,727 | +$273 +5.8% | 2 |
| 465d | GenesisG80 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | SellUp89¢ → 100¢ | $3,488 | −$431 −12% | — |
| 465d |  BICTORY | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $1,826 | +$203 +11% | 3 |
| 465d | brr694203 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyDown34¢ → 0¢ | $5,971 | −$5,971 −100% | 9 |
| 465d | precision5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $13,642 | +$1,643 +12% | 3 |
| 465d | brr694205 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | SellUp75¢ → 100¢ | $14,674 | −$4,872 −33% | — |
| 465d | 1kday | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | SellUp71¢ → 100¢ | $3,055 | −$1,248 −41% | — |
| 465d | 1kday | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | +$820 +54% | 4 |
| 465d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | SellDown46¢ → 0¢ | $3,603 | +$3,603 +100% | — |
| 465d |  CoffeeLover | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,136 | −$1,136 −100% | 3 |
Panda131,000 shares
BeanBandit388 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 9 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 10 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 9 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 10 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.