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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,522 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 98d | bot258 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,506 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 98d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$434 +43% | 5 |
| 98d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyDown61¢ → 0¢ | $1,221 | −$1,221 −100% | 5 |
| 98d | Alabjack231 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$520 +35% | 4 |
| 98d | IH2P | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$381 +37% | 4 |
| 98d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp64¢ → 100¢ | $2,880 | +$1,642 +57% | 4 |
| 98d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyDown63¢ → 0¢ | $6,490 | −$6,490 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.