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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 97d | URAL17 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $5,016 | +$238 +4.8% | 2 |
| 97d | btc-strong | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,876 | +$124 +6.6% | 2 |
| 97d | IH2P | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | +$654 +49% | 5 |
| 97d | prop-y2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $2,581 | −$2,581 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.