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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 456d | Besiege10 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | SellDown65¢ → 100¢ | $31,236 | −$16,598 −53% | — |
| 456d |  Krasue6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $20,319 | +$549 +2.7% | 2 |
| 456d | nghiapham | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyDown>99¢ | $9,419 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 456d | Rin2x | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 456d | rwo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyDown>99¢ | $18,570 | +$75 +0.4% | 2 |
| 456d |  Debosnys2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $6,785 | +$113 +1.7% | 2 |
| 456d | precision2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | SellDown67¢ → 100¢ | $4,048 | −$2,019 −50% | — |
| 456d | CheeseCutter | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$98 +3.3% | 2 |
| 456d |  RobinMarketHood | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | SellUp20¢ → 0¢ | $1,199 | +$1,199 +100% | — |
| 456d | Besiege5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | SellUp50¢ → 0¢ | $10,822 | +$10,822 +100% | — |
| 456d | Besiege13 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyDown56¢ → 100¢ | $33,381 | +$26,453 +79% | 5 |
| 456d |  coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | SellDown58¢ → 100¢ | $2,871 | −$2,079 −72% | — |
| 456d | evzero | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp59¢ → 0¢ | $1,179 | −$1,179 −100% | 5 |
| 456d | Besiege6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp66¢ → 0¢ | $15,292 | −$15,292 −100% | 5 |
| 456d | evzero | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | SellDown35¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | −$2,535 −186% | — |
| 456d | coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyDown37¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | +$3,150 +170% | 6 |
| 456d | Malangk | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp62¢ → 0¢ | $2,176 | −$2,176 −100% | 5 |
| 456d | affs207913 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp78¢ → 0¢ | $6,975 | −$6,975 −100% | 4 |
| 456d | precision2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyDown43¢ → 100¢ | $3,280 | +$4,412 +135% | 6 |
| 456d | MagicalCompound | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | SellUp57¢ → 0¢ | $2,580 | +$2,580 +100% | — |
| 456d | Bumblebee8902 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | SellUp44¢ → 0¢ | $4,076 | +$4,076 +100% | — |
| 456d | 3.14159265359 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | SellDown48¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | −$1,305 −108% | — |
| 456d | Bumblebee8902 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp43¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 6 |
| 456d |  VinnyViral | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp80¢ → 0¢ | $3,200 | −$3,200 −100% | 3 |
| 456d | Michael4396 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp70¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 4 |
| 456d | Michael4396 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | SellDown31¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | −$2,843 −222% | — |
| 457d | 0xA9650de4301F45e7F090AdA7252F9c | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | SellDown52¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | −$965 −92% | — |
| 457d |  0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A014 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,998 | −$1,998 −100% | 4 |
| 457d | Michael4396 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $2,063 | +$2,061 +100% | 4 |
| 457d | evzero | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$1,950 +100% | 3 |
| 457d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $2,050 | +$2,050 +100% | 3 |
| 457d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $2,193 | −$2,193 −100% | 3 |
VinnyViral7,333 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 17 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 18 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 17 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 18 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.