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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91d | Mizukaze2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,184 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 91d | lizhongbin12244 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp>99¢ | $7,972 | +$28 +0.4% | 2 |
| 91d | tongbainiang609743 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,974 | +$26 +0.4% | 2 |
| 91d | chenweirong34583 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $5,966 | +$34 +0.6% | 2 |
| 91d | Incognitoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$58 +3.1% | 2 |
| 91d | Alabjack231 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | SellUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | −$71 −5.3% | — |
| 91d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $11,206 | +$1,315 +12% | 3 |
| 91d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $2,223 | +$426 +19% | 3 |
| 91d | kingofcoinflips5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $17,094 | +$2,382 +14% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.