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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 472d | Meridiancv21 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,569 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 472d | 3.14159265359 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,250 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 472d |  JANESE | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,373 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 472d | Besiege | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 472d |  PredictionYogi | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,953 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 472d | curry3002 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $13,442 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 472d |  noreasapa | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 472d | JANESE | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,373 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 472d |  JaidenAnimations | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,203 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 472d | 5551ab | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,750 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 472d | Rin2x | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,658 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 472d | Wet-Sign | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,173 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 472d | lowrisk22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $4,893 | +$168 +3.4% | 2 |
| 472d | crypting | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | +$38 +3.1% | 2 |
| 472d | dapr | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | −$60 −5.6% | — |
| 472d |  WaitHope | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$74 +3.7% | 2 |
| 472d | JaidenAnimations | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $3,514 | +$147 +4.2% | 2 |
| 472d | 3.14159265359 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | +$47 +3.9% | 2 |
| 472d | Meridiancv21 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,522 | +$49 +3.2% | 2 |
| 472d |  coinman22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $5,478 | +$260 +4.7% | 2 |
| 472d | FlowMo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $20,535 | +$1,081 +5.3% | 2 |
| 472d | Besiege4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $6,857 | +$737 +11% | 3 |
| 472d | Suiko | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyDown14¢ → 0¢ | $1,060 | −$1,060 −100% | 4 |
| 472d |  0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A014 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp84¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | −$560 −19% | — |
| 472d | brr694204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $12,547 | +$6,685 +53% | 4 |
| 472d |  23g3g232g | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp85¢ → 100¢ | $4,233 | −$758 −18% | — |
| 472d | 23g3g232g | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $3,967 | +$598 +15% | 3 |
| 472d |  brujus2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp78¢ → 100¢ | $6,821 | −$1,926 −28% | — |
| 472d | 23g3g232g | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyDown23¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 4 |
| 472d | 0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A014 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $2,220 | +$780 +35% | 4 |
| 472d | brr694203 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp66¢ → 100¢ | $3,950 | −$2,000 −51% | — |
| 472d |  Mrmarket334 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp54¢ → 100¢ | $2,357 | −$1,990 −84% | — |
| 472d | brr694207 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $11,752 | −$11,752 −100% | 4 |
| 473d | brr694209 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellDown54¢ → 0¢ | $16,501 | +$16,501 +100% | — |
| 473d | bc1234 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp47¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,214 +111% | 4 |
| 473d | Mrmarket334 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp42¢ → 100¢ | $1,870 | +$2,582 +138% | 5 |
| 473d | precision | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyDown76¢ → 0¢ | $3,040 | −$3,040 −100% | 4 |
| 473d | Pafuncio | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellDown73¢ → 0¢ | $1,398 | +$1,398 +100% | — |
| 473d |  BICTORY | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyDown70¢ → 0¢ | $1,108 | −$1,108 −100% | 4 |
| 473d | brujus | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp34¢ → 100¢ | $2,945 | +$5,802 +197% | 7 |
| 473d | Pafuncio | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyDown69¢ → 0¢ | $1,380 | −$1,380 −100% | 4 |
| 473d |  BlazingFist | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyDown67¢ → 0¢ | $1,222 | −$1,222 −100% | 4 |
| 473d | BlazingFist2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp42¢ → 100¢ | $2,907 | +$4,067 +140% | 6 |
| 473d | BlazingFist | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp34¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | −$2,579 −193% | — |
| 473d | reikano | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | +$1,213 +96% | 3 |
| 474d | swoswo882 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $3,825 | +$3,675 +96% | 3 |
| 474d | sww882 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $3,774 | −$3,774 −100% | 3 |
Panda131,672 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 1 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 2 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 1 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 2 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.